Foreign demand for U.S. beef to remain strong into 2012

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U.S. beef exports for 2011 continue to remain robust. Twenty-one-percent growth is expected this year as beef exports are forecast at 2.78 billion pounds. Key factors supporting the strong export market in 2011 are: (1) increased demand for U.S. beef as disposable incomes of foreign consumers increase, (2) a worldwide multi-year decline in total cattle inventories and beef production, (3) an increased number of foreign countries purchasing U.S. beef, and (4) a favorable exchange rate (with a relatively weaker U.S. dollar making U.S. product more attractively priced in global markets).

Through October, the largest increases in U.S. beef exports have come from South Korea (+45 percent), Japan (+31 percent), and Canada (+33 percent). Along with Mexico (+1 percent), these countries are the largest importers of U.S. beef, totaling almost two-thirds of the total U.S. beef exported through October 2011. Notably, export totals to Hong Kong (+41 percent), Egypt (+23 percent), and Russia (+85 percent) have also posted strong growth increases. Through October, the seven countries listed above imported just over 80 percent of total U.S. beef exports. In 2012, with U.S. beef production expected to be down 5 percent, total exportable supplies will be squeezed. The strength seen in the export market, however, is expected to continue into next year, including growth in Asian markets. Although there will be a tighter U.S. supply, beef exports are expected to be about even with this year’s levels.



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