Schwieterman: Cash cattle trade higher Tuesday

 Resize text         Printer-friendly version of this article Printer-friendly version of this article

Corn                                            Estimated Fund Position
Trends
Short Term: Up                        Net Long Futures and Options: -14763
Long Term: Up                         Change: -3000
Overnight Trade: N +4 Z +1 @7:30 AM


Bull spreading was active again overnight. The general attitude is that Friday’s reports won’t hold any bullish news for the new crop corn and we are still dealing with strong basis and tight old crop stocks. The spread trade has been very choppy, but should begin to trend higher, especially after we get the reports out of the way. Look for the July contract to make a run at $7.00 and for the December to struggle as long as USDA doesn’t throw a curve and the weather is non-threatening.

Wheat                                      Estimated Fund Position
Trends
Short Term: Down                 Net Long Futures and Options: -63094
Long Term: Down                  Change: -1000
Overnight Trade: Chicago: N +2 KC: N +1 @7:30 AM


The wheat is ugly. The July KW made a new low for the move yesterday and again overnight. It is harvest time and we aren’t getting any help from the new crop corn. $7.10 is now critical support in the September contract. Failure there points to yet another leg lower.

Soybeans                                Estimated Fund Position
Trends
Short Term: Down                Net Long Futures and Options: 98192
Long Term:Up                        Change: +4000
Overnight Trade: N -2 X -4 @7:30 AM


Bull spreading has been active in the soybean market. Right now it looks like the July contract is ready to make a run at the highs and the November contract is treading water waiting for the reports to get out of the way. Once we get past Friday the focus will return to the weather and right now the weather is mostly non-threatening which will likely put pressure on the November contract. Look for a move to $12.40 soon.

Live Cattle
Trend
Short Term: Up
Long Term: Up
Opening Calls: Mixed


Live cattle futures closed narrowly mixed on Tuesday, with technical strength offsetting continued liquidation in the August contract. Three consecutive closes above the 50 day moving average has not been seen since early January, until yesterday. Overnight trade has been in a narrow .20 range on both sides of unchanged. Strength in the futures this week should provide the best chance in several weeks for better cash trade. Cutout values struggled on Tuesday, with the choice/select gap narrowing once again.

Feeder Cattle
Trends
Short Term: Up
Long Term: Up
Opening Call: 10-20 Higher


Feeder cattle futures closed steady to modestly higher on Tuesday, continuing to take their lead from the live pit. Corn prices were mixed on Tuesday, with old crop firm and new crop off a couple cents. Feeders will be watching the fats again today, with their other eye of Fridays’ grain report for new direction. Cash index levels rose again on Tuesday, with reports from our customer base indicating particular strength developing in the light weight offerings.



Comments (0) Leave a comment 

Name
e-Mail (required)
Location

Comment:

characters left


HPX 4x4 Diesel

Not only is the Gator HPX 4x4 the fastest choice in the John Deere Work Utility Vehicle line-up (with a top ... Read More

View all Products in this segment

View All Buyers Guides

Feedback Form
Leads to Insight