Energy

Natural Gas Outlook: Consumption down, Production to grow

More frigid weather in February led to another large downward revision to the STEO's end-of-March 2014 projection for working natural gas inventories. Projected inventories now end March at 965 billion cubic feet (Bcf), ending the season below 1,000 Bcf for the first time since 2003. Much colder-than-normal temperatures in February led to large stock withdrawals in response to high demand from the residential, commercial, and electric power sectors. According to data from Bentek Energy, three of the top five months for total natural gas demand over the last eight years have occurred this heating season (December 2013, January 2014, and February 2014). FULL STORY »

World Oil Outlook: Supplies to increase

EIA projects world petroleum and other liquids supply to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day (bbl/d) in both 2014 and 2015, with most of the growth coming from countries outside of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The Americas, in particular the United States, Canada, and Brazil, will account for much of this growth. Projected world liquid fuels consumption grows by an annual average of 1.2 million bbl/d in 2014 and 1.4 million bbl/d in 2015. FULL STORY »

U.S. Oil Outlook: Gasoline prices will continue to fall

Between the beginning of October and the end of February, U.S. average heating degree days were 13% higher than last winter (indicating colder weather) and 10% above the 10-year average. The Northeast was 13% colder than last winter, the Midwest and South both 19% colder, while the West was 5% warmer. The cold weather had the greatest effect on households in the Midwest that primarily use propane and those in the Northeast that rely on heating oil. FULL STORY »

Brent crude oil prices expected to weaken

Brent crude oil spot prices in February averaged between $108/bbl and $112/bbl for the eighth consecutive month. EIA expects the Brent crude oil price to weaken as non-OPEC supply growth exceeds growth in world consumption. The Brent crude oil price is projected to average $105/bbl and $101/bbl in 2014 and 2015, respectively. FULL STORY »

U.S. OIL OUTLOOK: Winter Highlights

Temperatures east of the Rocky Mountains have been significantly colder this winter (October-February) compared with the same period both last winter and the average for the past 10 years. FULL STORY »

Petroleum Product Exports Continued to Rise in 2013

Gasoline price are up while diesel fuel stays flat. Propane inventories rise and residential heating oil and propane prices decrease. FULL STORY »

Winter weather has broad effects on petroleum markets

The sustained cold weather that overtook much of the United States during January and February increased demand for space heating fuels, disrupted crude oil and natural gas production as well as refinery, rail, and pipeline operations, and challenged the ability of energy infrastructure to deliver fuel. FULL STORY »

Marcellus natural gas takeaway pipeline projects advance

Last week, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved three projects to increase natural gas takeaway capacity from the Marcellus Shale formation. FULL STORY »

Gasoline inventories high as refinery turnarounds approach

Since it became the prompt contract at the close of trading on January 31, the Nymex futures contract for March delivery of RBOB (the petroleum component of gasoline) in New York Harbor has increased 19 cents per gallon (cpg), reaching $2.82/gal on February 19. FULL STORY »

Schwieterman: Cattle futures strong last week, corn also improves

Feeder cattle futures had a strong week, gaining 2.92 in the April contract, in spite of slightly higher corn values. FULL STORY »

WTI–Brent spread projected to average $11 per barrel in 2014

In the February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), EIA projects that the discount of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to North Sea Brent crude oil, which averaged $11 per barrel (bbl) in 2013, will average $11/bbl and continue at the same level in 2014 and 2015. FULL STORY »

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