The forecast for total meat production in 2014 is lowered from last month, as lower beef production in the fourth quarter more than offsets increased pork production. Beef production is reduced as slaughter is expected lower. However, carcass weights remain heavy which partly offsets the decline.
The forecast for 2014 beef imports is raised on the pace of imports to date, but the export forecast is unchanged from last month. No change is made to 2015 forecasts. Pork imports are raised for 2014 and exports are reduced as relatively high prices are expected to encourage imports and limit sales opportunities. For 2015, the import forecast is raised but exports are unchanged.
The cattle price forecasts for 2014 and 2015 are raised from last month on continued demand strength and tight supplies of fed cattle.