Latest News From MARKETS

Feels Like Change Is Coming to the Cattle Markets

Steady money dominated the market for the sixth consecutive week.  However, winds of change are blowing and steady $111 could be coming to an end. 

U.S. Beef Trade Shows Impressive Performance Recently
U.S. Beef Trade Shows Impressive Performance Recently

U.S. beef trade continued the impressive performance of recent months in the latest monthly trade data for August.

<p>USMCA</p>
Cattle Groups Voice Differing Opinions on Trade Deals

In separate interviews with AgriTalk representatives from two major beef industry organizations discussed major trade deals that have been negotiated recently.

We Live in a Discount World

Value-added programs don’t necessarily add value to a set baseline price. Rather, they begin by removing some of the discount (risk) that buyers assume exist.

Selling in semi-load groups might be one of the largest discounts that can be removed.
We Live in a Discount World

Value-added programs don’t necessarily add value to a set baseline price. Rather, they begin by removing some of the discount (risk) that buyers assume exist.

Nalivka: Pay Heed To Break-Even Prices

Hedging opportunities for cattle marketed into the beginning of next year are becoming more attractive.

Hedging opportunities for cattle marketed into the beginning of next year are becoming more attractive.
Nalivka: Pay Heed To Break-Even Prices

Hedging opportunities for cattle marketed into the beginning of next year are becoming more attractive.

The market proved more positive than feeders anticipated this past week after the bearish Cattle On Feed report coupled with a lower board.
Steady Market Might Lead To Higher Prices

The market proved more positive than feeders anticipated this past week after the bearish Cattle On Feed report coupled with a lower board.

U.S. Beef Exports Continue to Grow; Imports Steady
U.S. Beef Exports Continue to Grow; Imports Steady

Total beef exports were up 16.8 percent year over year in July contributing to a year to date increase of 15.0 percent for the first seven months of the year.

Mounting evidence connects R-CALF and Organization for Competitive Markets With the Humane Society of the United States.
HSUS, R-CALF, OCM: Guilt by Association?

Mounting evidence connects R-CALF and Organization for Competitive Markets With the Humane Society of the United States.

Fed cattle traded steady to $1 higher, supported by gains in CME futures.
Feeder Cattle Steady To $4 Higher

Fed cattle traded steady to $1 higher, supported by gains in CME futures. Feeder cattle were steady to $4 higher.

The Florida cow diagnosed with atypical BSE did not enter the food supply.
Atypical BSE Case Shouldn’t Disrupt Trade

Based on past history and international agreements, this atypical case should not affect beef exports or our negligible-risk status with the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE).

Forage conditions don’t provide much fodder for optimism going forward. 
Fourth Quarter Cattle Feeding Shows Promise

Feeding margins with red ink will continue into September, but in general the losses are not crippling.

Weather and forage conditions over the next several weeks could have a major impact on female prices this fall.
July Female Market Prices Mixed

Weather and forage conditions over the next several weeks could have a major impact on female prices this fall.

President Obama is expected to sign the agreement on Feb. 4.
Experts Advise Cattle Producers to Keep Watchful Eye on Export Markets

The impact of U.S. beef exports on calf prices continues to rise as experts advise ranchers to stay abreast of trade developments globally.

CoBank: U.S. Beef Exports at Risk from Trade Disputes
CoBank: U.S. Beef Exports at Risk from Trade Disputes

Uncertainty with trade deals, global competition and an ongoing trade war have the potential to alter U.S. beef’s standing in the export market.

U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Sonny Perdue (center) ceremonially cuts into a Nebraska prime rib in Beijing, marking the return of U.S. beef to the Chinese market. Perdue is joined by Craig Uden (left), president of the National Cattlemen's Beef Association, and Luan Richeng (right), of state-owned Chinese importer COFCO.
Beef Consumption and Growing Beef Imports in China

Total beef consumption in China in 2018 is estimated at 8.5 million metric tons, second only to the U.S., according to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service.

Trade Agreement with Japan Is Crucial for U.S. Beef Industry
Trade Agreement with Japan Is Crucial for U.S. Beef Industry

Research from the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture indicates that a trade agreement with Japan is crucial for the U.S. beef industry.

Cattle and Beef Production in China
Cattle and Beef Production in China

China has an estimated total cattle herd of 96.85 million head in 2018, slightly larger than the current U.S. herd of 94.4 million head.

<p>Cattle importer focuses on finding healthy, quality cattle for finishing in the United States.</p>
I'm A Drover: Dual Citizen, One Mission

Cattle importer focuses on finding healthy, quality cattle for finishing in the United States.

President Obama is expected to sign the agreement on Feb. 4.
The Importance of Exports

Much of the uncertainty surrounding the issue of trade has created a level of anxiety within several U.S. industries.

Cattle and Beef Markets Are Not Independent From Global Markets

Despite increased beef production in 2018, up nearly 4% so far this year, beef demand has been quite strong and has limited beef and cattle price pressure in the first half of the year.

Despite increased beef production in 2018, up nearly 4% so far this year, beef demand has been quite strong and has limited beef and cattle price pressure in the first half of the year.
Cattle and Beef Markets Are Not Independent From Global Markets

Despite increased beef production in 2018, up nearly 4% so far this year, beef demand has been quite strong and has limited beef and cattle price pressure in the first half of the year.

 If high beef demand, and steady to high margins continue throughout the summer, the packer will have incentive to continue large kills every week.
Cash Market Turning The Corner

If high beef demand, and steady to high margins continue throughout the summer, the packer will have incentive to continue large kills every week.

<p>Beef producers need to think globally.</p>
Future of Beef Revisited: Global Competitiveness

Beef producers need to think globally.

Mixed Signals—What’s With This Cattle Market?

Additional cattle are continuing to come to feedyards, but fortunately there’s been several market factors at play to help offset beef supplies, at least for now, said Craig VanDyke, Top Third Ag Marketing.

Click above to here Top Third's Craig VanDyke talk what's making the cattle market take this stop-and-go pattern.
Mixed Signals—What’s With This Cattle Market?

Additional cattle are continuing to come to feedyards, but fortunately there’s been several market factors at play to help offset beef supplies, at least for now, said Craig VanDyke, Top Third Ag Marketing.

Cash cattle markets were mostly weaker, with CME futures prices lower before turning sharply higher Friday.
Cattle Markets Soften

Cash cattle markets were mostly weaker, with CME futures prices lower before turning sharply higher Friday.

U.S. Beef Exports Remain Strong
U.S. Beef Exports Remain Strong

Foreign markets for beef industry products continue to grow, especially in Asia.

As temperatures heat up in June, packer inventory will determine if they are in or out of the market.
Does the Leverage Stay with the Packer?

Last week’s cattle trade was once again a disappointment to cattle feeders.

<p>Containers are seen at the Yangshan Deep Water Port in Shanghai, China April 24, 2018.&nbsp;</p>
USDA: $3 Billion In Increased U.S. Ag Exports In Latest Report

The USDA's quarterly outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade has been released.

Drought is pushing more cows and heifers into the feedlot and to packers.
More Cows to Slaughter Fills the Beef Supply, Pauses Expansion

U.S. beef cow slaughter increased 10% through mid-April, in part due to herd liquidations stemming from drought in the southern Central Plains.

A short kill week last week might lead to opportunities this week.
Short Week Limited Need for Numbers

Trade was spotty at best last week due to lack of total numbers needed by packers for the shorter holiday week.

Beef production is on the upward climb, as more cattle supplies start to fill up feedyards.
Cattle Slaughter Hits 5-Year High Ahead of Memorial Day Grilling

A record amount of beef is on the way to consumers ahead of the start of summer grilling season.

France Steps Closer to Exporting Beef to China
France Steps Closer to Exporting Beef to China

France has taken another step closer to starting beef exports to China’s huge market after Chinese officials last week inspected seven of the European country’s meat plants, a French industry official said.

President Obama is expected to sign the agreement on Feb. 4.
Beef Exports Helping Cattle Markets

So far in 2018, the U.S. has exported beef to 100 different countries. However, 85 of those countries only account for 5.9 percent of year to date beef exports.

Drought conditions and wildfires in the southern Plains have erased any ideas of expansion in the region, further pressuring female prices.
April Female Markets Slightly Lower

Drought conditions and wildfires in the southern Plains have erased any ideas of expansion in the region, further pressuring female prices.

The low number of market-ready cattle continue to pull the market forward.
Packer Inventory Determines Cash Market Outlook

Many feeders chose not to sell this week because they did not not want to give in to a softer cash market.  The cattle that traded in the north and south, found the cash market $4 dollars lower at $122. 

In The Cattle Markets: 2018 Beef Exports Off to a Strong Start
In The Cattle Markets: 2018 Beef Exports Off to a Strong Start

Beef exports during the first quarter or 2018 have continued (and built upon) the increases seen last year.

Cash trade in the South was robust once again this week, with most cattle bringing $126, and a handful trading early at $125. 
Anticipated Numbers Might Slow Cash Trade

Cash trade in the South was robust once again this week, with most cattle bringing $126, and a handful trading early at $125. The trade in the North was steady to a little weaker.

“Battleground” In Beef Could Lead To Volatile Trade
“Battleground” In Beef Could Lead To Volatile Trade

Chip Nellinger of Blue Reef Agri-Marketing talks beef with AgDay host Clinton Griffiths.

The wide basis means there is still opportunity for May cattle that are currently hedged.
Cash Market Wins With All Packers in Play

Packers could potentially find it challenging to obtain enough market ready cattle to meet their spring order demands.

More U.S. Beef Could be Destined for Europe
More U.S. Beef Could be Destined for Europe

The European Union might be willing to accept more imports of U.S. beef to help ease trade tension with President Trump.

Profit Tracker: Rally Erases Red Ink
Profit Tracker: Rally Erases Red Ink

Feedyard closeouts revealed profits of $92 per head last week after two weeks of losses.

Advantage Goes to Cash in Market Tug Of War

This week should show us how willing the packers are to pull May contracts.

This week should show us how willing the packers are to pull May contracts.
Advantage Goes to Cash in Market Tug Of War

This week should show us how willing the packers are to pull May contracts.

Nalivka: About Those Marketing Holes And Walls of Cattle...

USDA’s cattle on feed survey data can have inherent problems, but additionally, we don’t really know the feeding performance of cattle in feedlots in the major feeding regions.

A few points to keep in mind ahead of USDA's Cattle on Feed report, due out Friday.
Nalivka: About Those Marketing Holes And Walls of Cattle...

USDA’s cattle on feed survey data can have inherent problems, but additionally, we don’t really know the feeding performance of cattle in feedlots in the major feeding regions.

What began as a dismal start in the cash trade early last week, shifted into a more positive direction on Friday.  
Packer’s Need for Cattle Pushed Cash Market Higher

What began as a dismal start in the cash trade early last week, shifted into a more positive direction on Friday.  

First Irish Beef Exports to China Approved
First Irish Beef Exports to China Approved

Ireland will become the first European Union country to gain access to China’s fast-growing beef market after its agriculture minister said on Monday that Beijing had approved imports from three Irish processors.